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JP Morgan Forecasts Gold at $6,300 Amid Sovereign Buying Wave

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JP Morgan Forecasts Gold at $6,300 Amid Sovereign Buying Wave

JP Morgan expects gold prices to reach $6,300 per ounce by year end. The forecast reflects a sovereign buying wave and strong investor interest. However, prices moved lower at the start of the week. Gold slipped to $4,677.17 per ounce after a sharp intraday drop. Despite the pullback, sentiment remains positive. The bank believes the broader trend still favors real assets.

Why Long Term Demand Still Looks Strong

JP Morgan highlighted steady accumulation by monetary authorities. This trend reflects ongoing reserve diversification across global markets. In addition, investors continue to seek protection from volatility.
As a result, gold remains attractive during uncertain financial cycles. The bank now expects official sector purchases to reach 800 tons in 2026. That projection suggests demand has not yet peaked. Moreover, analysts see real assets outperforming paper instruments. Therefore, gold’s role as a hedge remains firmly intact.

Recent Price Moves Shake Short Term Confidence

Gold recently hit a record high near $5,595 per ounce. That surge came before profit taking pushed prices lower. Such corrections are common after sharp rallies. However, analysts say they do not change the long term outlook. JP Morgan stressed conviction remains strong over the medium term. The bank views recent weakness as part of a broader consolidation phase.

Silver Outlook Turns More Cautious

Silver prices have traded near $80 per ounce since late December. Yet, JP Morgan now finds the rally harder to explain. Unlike gold, silver lacks structural support from official buyers. Therefore, volatility remains a concern. Spot silver recently dropped to $78.90 per ounce.
Earlier, it touched a record high above $121. Still, analysts see a stronger price floor than before. Silver may hold between $75 and $80 despite recent swings.

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