MPC Status Outlook Signals Policy Pause at Year End
The MPC status outlook appears steady as policymakers gather for the final meeting this year. Economic signals point toward caution rather than change. As a result, markets expect stability in the policy stance.
Global trends offer some breathing room for decision makers. Oil prices dropped more than six percent since the last review.
They now hover close to fifty seven dollars per barrel. Lower oil costs reduce pressure on imports. Therefore, inflation risks remain relatively controlled. This shift supports a wait-and see approach.
Inflation Trends
Domestic price growth shows modest improvement. Headline inflation reached 6.1 percent one year in November 2025. The national statistics agency shared the updated figures. This level keeps inflation within a manageable range.
However, policymakers continue to watch food and fuel prices. These costs affect everyday budgets the most. External balances also send mixed signals. The current account recorded a one-hundred twelve million dollar deficit in October. That outcome followed a surplus seen in September. Despite this reversal, comparisons remain encouraging. October last year posted a much larger surplus. Therefore, the broader pattern still suggests balance.
Reserve Position
Foreign exchange buffers continue to improve. Central bank reserves climbed to fourteen point five eight billion dollars by early December. This rise boosts confidence among investors.
Commercial banks also hold healthy foreign assets. Their net reserves stand just above five billion dollars.
Together, total liquid reserves reached nearly nineteen point six billion dollars.
These buffers lower short-term financing risks. In addition, they help stabilize the currency. Such conditions often favor policy continuity. Given these signals, expectations lean toward a pause. Officials may prefer observation over immediate action. The MPC status outlook therefore remains unchanged.
This approach supports economic predictability. It also helps protect growth momentum. For households and businesses alike, stability brings reassurance.
